BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg scored under 1.5 in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · BK Hacken conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · IFK Goteborg: only games against sides at BK Hacken's level · BK Hacken: only games against sides at IFK Goteborg's level
Match details. Allsvenskan. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time.
Form. BK Hacken have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. IFK Goteborg have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W.
The numbers. BK Hacken score two and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and two games without a goal. BK Hacken average 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. IFK Goteborg score 2.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. IFK Goteborg average 6.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 57% against the records' 28%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The read. No firm call: BK Hacken are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make BK Hacken the likelier winners; BK Hacken are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 74% on the records (BK Hacken: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9; IFK Goteborg: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 9). Full cover: IFK Goteborg Under 1.5 Goals at 1.47. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (BK Hacken are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (BK Hacken are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: BK Hacken 2-1 IFK Goteborg (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).