FCFOR

16:30Sat 31 Oct

FCW

Fortuna Cologne vs FC Wurzburger Kickers

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. 3. Liga, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Südstadion, Cologne, a neutral ground.

What's at stake. Fortuna Cologne are 19th on 10 points after 11 games, level on points with SSV Jahn Regensburg, 1 point clear of Havelse. A win would take them above SSV Jahn Regensburg. FC Wurzburger Kickers are 17th on 11 points after 11 games, 1 point behind SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, 1 point clear of SSV Jahn Regensburg. A win would take them above SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.

Form. Fortuna Cologne have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. In this competition Fortuna Cologne have gone L L L D W L. FC Wurzburger Kickers have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L. In this competition FC Wurzburger Kickers have gone L W D L L W.

The numbers. Fortuna Cologne score 0.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. Fortuna Cologne average 10.4 shots (3.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. FC Wurzburger Kickers score 1.3 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. FC Wurzburger Kickers average 12.2 shots (3.1 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last six meetings Fortuna Cologne have won one, drawn one and lost four. Three of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Fortuna Cologne won one, one was drawn and FC Wurzburger Kickers won two. The last time they met, on 27 Apr 2019, it finished Fortuna Cologne 0-2 FC Wurzburger Kickers: Fortuna Cologne had 13 shots to 10, 41% of the ball, seven yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. Fortuna Cologne are the form side, but the meetings favour FC Wurzburger Kickers: in the last six meetings, Fortuna Cologne won one, FC Wurzburger Kickers won four and one was drawn.

The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Fortuna Cologne 1-1 FC Wurzburger Kickers (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

FOR 10 of 10 (100%) · FCW 9 of 10 (90%)92.8%

Fortuna Cologne: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Wurzburger Kickers: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 5 of 6 · Fortuna Cologne: only games against sides at FC Wurzburger Kickers's level · FC Wurzburger Kickers: only games against sides at Fortuna Cologne's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.26

FOR 6 of 10 (60%) · FCW 9 of 10 (90%)71.4%

Fortuna Cologne: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Wurzburger Kickers: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Fortuna Cologne: only games against sides at FC Wurzburger Kickers's level · FC Wurzburger Kickers: only games against sides at Fortuna Cologne's level

FC WURZBURGER KICKERS GOALS

FC Wurzburger Kickers Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.40

FOR 7 of 10 (70%) · FCW 8 of 10 (80%)64.1%

FC Wurzburger Kickers scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fortuna Cologne conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · FC Wurzburger Kickers: only games against sides at Fortuna Cologne's level · Fortuna Cologne: only games against sides at FC Wurzburger Kickers's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.21

FOR 7 of 10 (70%) · FCW 9 of 10 (90%)80.8%

Fortuna Cologne: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Wurzburger Kickers: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Fortuna Cologne: only games against sides at FC Wurzburger Kickers's level · FC Wurzburger Kickers: only games against sides at Fortuna Cologne's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 14%

Fortuna Cologne goals →

FC Wurzburger Kickers goals ↓

0-011%

1-011%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11.0%

5-10.2%

0-26%

1-27%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.6%

1-40.7%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

FORTUNA COLOGNEDWDDLWDLLL1.00 PPG

FC WURZBURGER KICKERSWLLLWLLDWL1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FORTUNA COLOGNE HOMExFC WURZBURGER KICKERS AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.301.10CONCEDED A GAME2.1020%CLEAN SHEETS30%64%FAILED TO SCORE27%4.12CORNERS A GAME4.502.00CARDS A GAME2.38

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.30POINTS A GAME1.00-0.10GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.73-0.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.90.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.820LEAGUE GAMES11

Fortuna Cologne: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

FORTUNA COLOGNE OR DRAW

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

FC WURZBURGER KICKERS OR DRAW

60%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (20 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FORTUNA COLOGNExFC WURZBURGER KICKERS

10GAMES60.70SCORED A GAME1.171.00CONCEDED A GAME3.171.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.350%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%30%OVER 2.5 GOALS100%40%BOTH SCORE67%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.09.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 6

FORTUNA COLOGNE 1 · 17%DRAW 1FC WURZBURGER KICKERS 4 · 67%

2 of 6BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 6OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 6OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 6OVER 3.5 GOALS

2015-10-03Fortuna Cologne 0 – 3 FC Wurzburger Kickers

2016-03-18Fortuna Cologne 1 – 4 FC Wurzburger Kickers

2017-10-28Fortuna Cologne 2 – 1 FC Wurzburger Kickers

2018-04-07Fortuna Cologne 0 – 1 FC Wurzburger Kickers

2018-11-24Fortuna Cologne 0 – 0 FC Wurzburger Kickers

2019-04-27Fortuna Cologne 0 – 2 FC Wurzburger Kickers

TRENDS

Fortuna Cologne failed to score in 64% of their games.

FC Wurzburger Kickers failed to score in 27% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAhead to headleague tablecornerscards