Bologna vs Monza
Match details. Bologna host Monza in Serie A Regular Season - 10 at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Bologna sit 13th on 8 points after 8 games. They are 1 point behind Lecce and level on points with Sassuolo, so a win takes them above Lecce. Monza are 15th on 7 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Sassuolo and level on points with Genoa. A win gets Monza above Sassuolo.
Form. Bologna have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, taking 1.2 points a game. Their last five read W W L W D. Monza have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, averaging 1.0 points a game. Their last five are L L W L W.
The numbers. At home, Bologna score 1.4 and concede two a game over their last five, with no clean sheets. They average 11.0 shots (3.9 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game, holding 48% of the ball. Monza score 1.3 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. They average 13.2 shots (6.1 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards, with 45% possession.
Head to head. Bologna have won four, drawn two and lost one of the last seven meetings. In the last four, Bologna won three and one was drawn. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 18 Jan 2025, Bologna won 3-1 with 18 shots to 3, 59% of the ball and four yellow cards.
The case against. Monza's record still gives them a 22% chance to win. Their goals for and against point to an open game, putting over 2.5 goals at 64%. Four of the last seven meetings also went over 2.5.
The read. Bologna to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Bologna the likelier winners for me. Bologna are the stronger side on form and the table, and the head-to-head meetings also favour Bologna.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Monza Under 1.5 goals (Bologna's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Bologna 2-0 Monza (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).