Louisville City FC vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Match details. USL Championship, Round of 16. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time. It is played at Lynn Family Stadium.
What's at stake. Louisville City FC are 4th on 47 points after 30 games, 4 points behind Detroit City, 2 points clear of Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th on 45 points after 30 games, 2 points behind Louisville City, 2 points clear of Hartford Athletic. A win would take them above Louisville City. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Louisville City FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. Pittsburgh Riverhounds have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L.
The numbers. Louisville City FC score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Louisville City FC average 6.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Pittsburgh Riverhounds score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Pittsburgh Riverhounds average 3.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Louisville City FC have won three, drawn two and lost three. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Louisville City FC won one, one was drawn and Pittsburgh Riverhounds won two. The last time they met, on 18 Jul 2026, it finished Louisville City FC 1-3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and Louisville City FC are not clearly stronger. Pittsburgh Riverhounds's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Louisville City FC or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Louisville City FC the likelier winners; Louisville City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Louisville City FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Louisville City FC or Draw at 1.17, 79% on the records (Louisville City FC unbeaten in 7 of 8; Pittsburgh Riverhounds failed to win 5 of 6 away). Backup: Pittsburgh Riverhounds Under 1.5 Goals at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Louisville City FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Louisville City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Louisville City FC or draw and under 3.5 goals (Louisville City FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Louisville City FC 1-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).