Billericay Town vs Hampton & Richmond Borough
Match details. National League South, National League South - 14. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Billericay Town are 6th on 21 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Salisbury, level on points with Tonbridge Angels. A win would take them above Salisbury. Hampton & Richmond Borough are 22nd on 8 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Braintree, level on points with Walton & Hersham. A win would take them above Braintree.
Form. Billericay Town have won five, drawn three and lost one of their last nine, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition Billericay Town have gone W W W D W D. Hampton & Richmond Borough have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W. In this competition Hampton & Richmond Borough have gone L L L D W L.
The numbers. Billericay Town score three and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Billericay Town average 9.3 shots (4.7 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 39% of the ball. Hampton & Richmond Borough score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Hampton & Richmond Borough average 6.4 shots (2.6 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Billericay Town have won one, drawn one and lost four. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Hampton & Richmond Borough won four. The last time they met, on 9 Apr 2022, it finished Billericay Town 0-2 Hampton & Richmond Borough.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Billericay Town the likelier winners, but Billericay Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Billericay Town; the meetings favour Hampton & Richmond Borough. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; four of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Hampton & Richmond Borough's record still gives them 26% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The read. Billericay Town to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Billericay Town the likelier winners; Billericay Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Billericay Town; the meetings favour Hampton & Richmond Borough. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Billericay Town 2-0 Hampton & Richmond Borough (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).