Al Bukiryah vs Hajer FC
Match details. Division 1, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Al Bukayriyah Club Stadium.
What's at stake. Al Bukiryah are 17th on 3 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Hajer, 1 point clear of Al Jeel. A win would take them level on points with Hajer. Hajer FC are 16th on 6 points after 7 games, level on points with Al Jandal, 3 points clear of Al Bukayriyah. A win would take them above Al Jandal.
Form. Al Bukiryah have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. Hajer FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D D.
The numbers. Al Bukiryah score 0.7 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Al Bukiryah average 8.2 shots (3.0 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Hajer FC score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Hajer FC average 8.3 shots (2.3 on target), 2.9 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Al Bukiryah have won one, drawn one and lost two. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 15 Apr 2024, it finished Al Bukiryah 1-0 Hajer FC.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Hajer FC Over 0.5 goals (Hajer FC's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Al Bukiryah Over 0.5 Goals (Al Bukiryah's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al Bukiryah 1-1 Hajer FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).