Alkmaar vs FC Groningen
FC Groningen scored in 5 of 5 away · Alkmaar conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 6 · FC Groningen: only games against sides at Alkmaar's level · Alkmaar: only games against sides at FC Groningen's level
Match details. Eredivisie, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:45 Lagos time. It is played at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar.
What's at stake. Alkmaar are 5th on 20 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Twente, 1 point clear of Fortuna Sittard. A win would take them level on points with Twente. FC Groningen are 8th on 15 points after 11 games, 3 points behind Heerenveen, level on points with Cambuur. A win would take them level on points with Heerenveen.
Form. Alkmaar have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition Alkmaar have gone L L D L W D. FC Groningen have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition FC Groningen have gone L D L W W D.
The numbers. Alkmaar score 1.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Alkmaar average 15.9 shots (5.6 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. FC Groningen score 2.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FC Groningen average 15.5 shots (5.2 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Alkmaar have won six, drawn two and lost two. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Alkmaar won three and FC Groningen won one. The last time they met, on 22 Mar 2026, it finished Alkmaar 0-3 FC Groningen: Alkmaar had 16 shots to 15, 53% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. FC Groningen's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. Alkmaar to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Alkmaar the likelier winners; Alkmaar are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Alkmaar; the meetings favour Alkmaar. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. Best bet: Alkmaar or Draw at 1.16, 74% on the records (Alkmaar unbeaten in 7 of 10; FC Groningen failed to win 3 of 5 away). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.10 (78%). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); FC Groningen Under 1.5 goals (FC Groningen's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Alkmaar 2-1 FC Groningen (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).