Heart of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk FC
Match details. Premiership, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh.
What's at stake. Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd on 20 points after 11 games, 4 points behind Rangers, 2 points clear of Falkirk. Falkirk FC are 4th on 18 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Heart Of Midlothian, 1 point clear of Dundee. A win would take them above Heart Of Midlothian.
Form. Heart of Midlothian FC have won five, drawn two and lost two of their last nine, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. In this competition Heart of Midlothian FC have gone D W L W D L. Falkirk FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. In this competition Falkirk FC have gone W W W W L D.
The numbers. Heart of Midlothian FC score 2.1 and concede 1.7 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets. Heart of Midlothian FC average 16.9 shots (5.1 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Falkirk FC score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Falkirk FC average 12.6 shots (4.5 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Heart of Midlothian FC have won six, drawn none and lost two. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Heart of Midlothian FC won three and Falkirk FC won one. The last time they met, on 15 Sep 2026, it finished Heart of Midlothian FC 1-2 Falkirk FC: Heart of Midlothian FC had 9 shots to 13, 58% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
The case against. Falkirk FC's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Heart of Midlothian FC to win. An open game. Heart of Midlothian FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Heart of Midlothian FC; the meetings favour Heart of Midlothian FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 76% on the records (Heart of Midlothian FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 9; Falkirk FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Heart of Midlothian FC 2-1 Falkirk FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).