Match details. Eredivisie, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg. The referee is Allard Lindhout.
What's at stake. Willem II Tilburg are 18th on 2 points after 11 games, 4 points behind ADO Den Haag. PEC Zwolle are 14th on 11 points after 11 games, level on points with NEC Nijmegen, level on points with Excelsior. A win would take them above NEC Nijmegen.
Team news. Willem II Tilburg are without J. Hoogma (knee injury), A. Lachkar (groin injury), J. Hoogma (knee injury), A. Lachkar (groin injury). PEC Zwolle are without S. Floranus (injury), F. Krastev (achilles tendon injury), G. Rahajaan (inactive), S. Floranus (injury), F. Krastev (achilles tendon injury), G. Rahajaan (inactive).
Form. Willem II Tilburg have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. PEC Zwolle have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L.
The numbers. Willem II Tilburg score 1.2 and concede 3.4 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Willem II Tilburg average 10.9 shots (2.5 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. PEC Zwolle score 1.2 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. PEC Zwolle average 13.1 shots (4.6 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Willem II Tilburg have won three, drawn three and lost four. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Willem II Tilburg won one, one was drawn and PEC Zwolle won two. The last time they met, on 14 May 2025, it finished Willem II Tilburg 1-2 PEC Zwolle: Willem II Tilburg had 15 shots to 16, 42% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Willem II Tilburg's record still gives them 25% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The read. PEC Zwolle to win. A tight game. PEC Zwolle are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour PEC Zwolle.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: 1X2 - 2UP: PEC Zwolle (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Willem II Tilburg 0-1 PEC Zwolle (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).