Greuther Furth vs Holstein Kiel
Match details. 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth. The referee is Lars Erbst.
What's at stake. Greuther Furth are 14th on 9 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Eintracht Braunschweig, level on points with SV Darmstadt 98. A win would take them above Eintracht Braunschweig. Holstein Kiel are 16th on 8 points after 9 games, 1 point behind SV Darmstadt 98, level on points with Dynamo Dresden. A win would take them above SV Darmstadt 98.
Form. Greuther Furth have won two, drawn three and lost four of their last nine, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D. In this competition Greuther Furth have gone L W L D D L. Holstein Kiel have won one, drawn five and lost three of their last nine, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L. In this competition Holstein Kiel have gone W D L D L D.
The numbers. Greuther Furth score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Greuther Furth average 14.0 shots (4.6 on target), 6.6 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Holstein Kiel score 1.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Holstein Kiel average 13.8 shots (3.1 on target), 5.6 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Greuther Furth have won four, drawn two and lost four. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Greuther Furth won two and Holstein Kiel won two. The last time they met, on 31 Jan 2026, it finished Greuther Furth 2-1 Holstein Kiel: Greuther Furth had 5 shots to 13, 31% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Greuther Furth 2-2 Holstein Kiel (5% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).