Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau
Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Red Bull Arena, Salzburg. The referee is Julian Weinberger.
What's at stake. Salzburg are 2nd on 24 points after 10 games, 3 points behind Rapid Vienna, 2 points clear of Lask Linz. A win would take them level on points with Rapid Vienna. Austria Lustenau are 10th on 8 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Grazer AK, 1 point clear of Austria Vienna. A win would take them above Grazer AK.
Team news. S. Kitano is their main creator. D. Schmid is their centre-back. Salzburg's line-up is confirmed. Austria Lustenau's line-up is confirmed.
Form. Salzburg have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. In this competition Salzburg have gone W W D W D W. Austria Lustenau have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition Austria Lustenau have gone L L L W L L.
The numbers. Salzburg score 3.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Salzburg average 16.4 shots (7.2 on target), 4.9 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 61% of the ball. Austria Lustenau score 1.4 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Austria Lustenau average 12.4 shots (4.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. Salzburg have won all of the last six meetings. Five of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. In the last four, Salzburg won four. The last time they met, on 24 Feb 2024, it finished Salzburg 7-0 Austria Lustenau: Salzburg had 22 shots to 2, 78% of the ball, one yellow card.
The case against. Salzburg without S. Kitano (creator), D. Schmid (centre-back).
The read. Salzburg or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Salzburg the likelier winners; Salzburg are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Salzburg; the meetings favour Salzburg. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%. Five of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Salzburg to win at 1.16, 88% on the records (the tipsters read Salzburg as a clear winner (3 scores) and Salzburg are 1.6 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Salzburg are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Salzburg are a clear winner, no Unders); 2nd Half - Salzburg Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Salzburg 2-1 Austria Lustenau (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).