MALMAL

14:00Sun 1 Nov

HAM

Malmo vs Hammarby IF

CLASS B

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Allsvenskan. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. Malmo have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L. Hammarby IF have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.

The numbers. Malmo score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Malmo average 5.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Hammarby IF score 1.7 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets. Hammarby IF average 6.9 corners and 1.2 cards a game.

The case against. Malmo's record still gives them 31% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.

The read. Hammarby IF to win. An open game. Hammarby IF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hammarby IF.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: 1X2 - 2UP: Hammarby IF (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Hammarby IF are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Hammarby IF are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Malmo 1-2 Hammarby IF (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Hammarby IF or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.15

MAL 5 of 5 (100%) · HAM 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%

Hammarby IF scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 away · Malmo trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 at home · Hammarby IF: only games against sides at Malmo's level · Malmo: only games against sides at Hammarby IF's level

Hammarby IF or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAL 5 of 5 (100%) · HAM 3 of 5 (60%)83.1%

Hammarby IF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Malmo: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 72% · Hammarby IF: only games against sides at Malmo's level · Malmo: only games against sides at Hammarby IF's level

Hammarby IF win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.11

MAL 5 of 5 (100%) · HAM 3 of 5 (60%)81.7%

Hammarby IF: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Malmo: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 67% · Hammarby IF: only games against sides at Malmo's level · Malmo: only games against sides at Hammarby IF's level

Hammarby IF or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.22

MAL 4 of 5 (80%) · HAM 3 of 5 (60%)70.4%

Hammarby IF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Malmo: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 67% · Hammarby IF: only games against sides at Malmo's level · Malmo: only games against sides at Hammarby IF's level

Hammarby IF 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.37

MAL 4 of 5 (80%) · HAM 4 of 5 (80%)66.7%

Hammarby IF scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 away · Malmo trailed in 2 of 5 at home · Hammarby IF: only games against sides at Malmo's level · Malmo: only games against sides at Hammarby IF's level

Hammarby IF (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

MAL 6 of 8 (75%) · HAM 3 of 7 (43%)63.2%

Hammarby IF won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Malmo lost 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · Hammarby IF: only games against sides at Malmo's level · Malmo: only games against sides at Hammarby IF's level · won 6, refunded 2, lost 3

MALMO GOALS

Malmo Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.47

MAL 4 of 5 (80%) · HAM 4 of 5 (80%)61.6%

Malmo scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Hammarby IF conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · Malmo: only games against sides at Hammarby IF's level · Hammarby IF: only games against sides at Malmo's level

HAMMARBY IF GOALS

Hammarby IF Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.11

MAL 5 of 5 (100%) · HAM 3 of 5 (60%)78.6%

Hammarby IF scored in 5 of 5 away · Malmo conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 67% · Hammarby IF: only games against sides at Malmo's level · Malmo: only games against sides at Hammarby IF's level

Left off the list: 1X2 - 2UP: Hammarby IF (the numbers (38%) and the records (53%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (Hammarby IF are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Hammarby IF are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.1%

Malmo goals →

Hammarby IF goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11.0%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

MALMOWDLWLWDWWL1.70 PPG

HAMMARBY IFWWWLWWDLWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MALMO HOMExHAMMARBY IF AWAY

1.58SCORED A GAME2.081.31CONCEDED A GAME0.8120%BOTH SCORED30%50%CLEAN SHEETS60%5.12CORNERS A GAME6.882.19CARDS A GAME1.23

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.75POINTS A GAME2.50+0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.58-0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+6.11.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.48LEAGUE GAMES12

Hammarby IF: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

HAMMARBY IF 0:2 HANDICAP

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54 OF 60

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

43%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

21%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

MALMO OR DRAW

37%

NO · 80/85

HAMMARBY IF OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MALMOxHAMMARBY IF

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.200.60CONCEDED A GAME0.201.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.440%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%0%BOTH SCORE0%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.411.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.8

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Malmo have scored in 50% of their games.

Hammarby IF have scored in 90% of their games.

Malmo kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Hammarby IF kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards