CA Penarol Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers
Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - 13. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo. The referee is Leodan Gonzalez.
What's at stake. CA Penarol Montevideo are 5th on 21 points after 12 games, level on points with Deportivo Maldonado, 2 points clear of Progreso. A win would take them above Deportivo Maldonado. Montevideo Wanderers are 11th on 15 points after 12 games, level on points with Boston River, 3 points clear of Albion FC. A win would take them above Boston River.
Form. CA Penarol Montevideo have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W D. In this competition CA Penarol Montevideo have gone D L D W D W. Montevideo Wanderers have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. In this competition Montevideo Wanderers have gone L L L W W D.
The numbers. CA Penarol Montevideo score 1.4 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Penarol Montevideo average 11.5 shots (3.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 4.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Montevideo Wanderers score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Montevideo Wanderers average 5.5 shots (2.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CA Penarol Montevideo have won six, drawn two and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, CA Penarol Montevideo won three and Montevideo Wanderers won one. The last time they met, on 5 Aug 2026, it finished CA Penarol Montevideo 5-1 Montevideo Wanderers.
The case against. Montevideo Wanderers's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. CA Penarol Montevideo to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA Penarol Montevideo the likelier winners; CA Penarol Montevideo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Penarol Montevideo; the meetings favour CA Penarol Montevideo. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: CA Penarol Montevideo or Draw at 1.13, 77% on the records (CA Penarol Montevideo unbeaten in 8 of 10; Montevideo Wanderers failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: CA Penarol Montevideo Over 0.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (CA Penarol Montevideo are a clear winner, no Unders); CA Penarol Montevideo or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CA Penarol Montevideo or draw and under 3.5 goals (CA Penarol Montevideo are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: CA Penarol Montevideo 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).