Match details. FA Trophy, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Workington AFC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. In this competition Workington AFC have gone W. Cleethorpes Town FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. In this competition Cleethorpes Town FC have gone W.
The numbers. Workington AFC score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Workington AFC average 8.3 shots (4.7 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Cleethorpes Town FC score 1.8 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Cleethorpes Town FC average 6.7 shots (2.1 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Workington AFC have won none, drawn two and lost one. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 3 Oct 2026, it finished Workington AFC 1-1 Cleethorpes Town FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Workington AFC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Cleethorpes Town FC Over 0.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Cleethorpes Town FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Workington AFC 1-1 Cleethorpes Town FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).