Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 2, Group 2 - 8. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. UD Gijon Industrial have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D. CD Covadonga have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. UD Gijon Industrial score 2.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. UD Gijon Industrial average 9.7 shots (5.3 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game. CD Covadonga score 2.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. CD Covadonga average 9.5 shots (5.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 87%.
The bets. Best bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.79, 70% on the records (UD Gijon Industrial: both scored in 4 of 5 at home; CD Covadonga: both scored in 7 of 10). The safer one: CD Covadonga Over 1.5 Goals at 1.69 (73%). Backup: CD Covadonga Over 1.5 Goals at 1.69. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CD Covadonga or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: UD Gijon Industrial 1-2 CD Covadonga (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).