Valadares Gaia FC vs CS Maritimo Madeira
Match details. Campeonato Nacional, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Valadares Gaia FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. CS Maritimo Madeira have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D.
The numbers. Valadares Gaia FC score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Valadares Gaia FC average 11.0 shots (4.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CS Maritimo Madeira score 0.3 and concede 3.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. CS Maritimo Madeira average 7.4 shots (2.3 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 89% against the records' 54%.
The read. No firm call: Valadares Gaia FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Valadares Gaia FC the likelier winners; Valadares Gaia FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Valadares Gaia FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Valadares Gaia FC 2-1 CS Maritimo Madeira (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).