Stade de Mbour vs Guediawaye FC
Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 2. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Stade de Mbour are 9th on 1 point after 1 game, level on points with Jaraaf, level on points with Wally Daan. A win would take them above Jaraaf. Guediawaye FC are 4th on 3 points after 1 game, 1 point behind HLM, level on points with Diambars. A win would take them above HLM.
Form. Stade de Mbour have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W. In this competition Stade de Mbour have gone D D L L W D. Guediawaye FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. In this competition Guediawaye FC have gone W L W L L D.
The numbers. Stade de Mbour score 0.5 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and six games without a goal. Stade de Mbour average 2.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Guediawaye FC score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Guediawaye FC average 3.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Stade de Mbour have won three, drawn four and lost three. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and Guediawaye FC won two. The last time they met, on 22 May 2026, it finished Stade de Mbour 0-2 Guediawaye FC.
Where it pulls both ways. Stade de Mbour are the form side, but the meetings favour Guediawaye FC: in the last ten meetings, Stade de Mbour won three, Guediawaye FC won three and four were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 19%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.32, 81% on the records (Stade de Mbour: under 2.5 goals in 10 of 10; Guediawaye FC: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: Stade de Mbour or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Guediawaye FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Stade de Mbour 0-0 Guediawaye FC (19% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).