LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv
Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. LNZ Cherkasy have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. FC Kharkiv have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. LNZ Cherkasy score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. LNZ Cherkasy average 5.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. FC Kharkiv score two and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FC Kharkiv average 10.6 shots (4.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The case against. LNZ Cherkasy's record still gives them 38% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The read. FC Kharkiv to win. A tight game. FC Kharkiv are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Kharkiv. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.14, 75% on the records (LNZ Cherkasy: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; FC Kharkiv: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: FC Kharkiv or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Kharkiv 1UP (the signs point different ways); 1X2 - 2UP: FC Kharkiv (the signs point different ways); FC Kharkiv Over 0.5 goals (LNZ Cherkasy's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: LNZ Cherkasy 0-1 FC Kharkiv (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).