Match details. National League South, National League South - 14. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Farnborough FC are 17th on 14 points after 12 games, level on points with Hemel Hempstead Town, 1 point clear of Maidenhead. A win would take them above Hemel Hempstead Town. Weston-super-Mare are 12th on 18 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Dover, level on points with Horsham. A win would take them above Dover.
Form. Farnborough FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. Weston-super-Mare have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D D.
The numbers. Farnborough FC score 0.8 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. Farnborough FC average 7.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Weston-super-Mare score 1.2 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Weston-super-Mare average 5.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Farnborough FC have won three, drawn two and lost four. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Farnborough FC won one and Weston-super-Mare won three. The last time they met, on 3 Jan 2026, it finished Farnborough FC 1-4 Weston-super-Mare.
The case against. Farnborough FC's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Weston-super-Mare to win. An open game. Both teams' records favour Weston-super-Mare; the meetings favour Weston-super-Mare. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 76% on the records (Farnborough FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8; Weston-super-Mare: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Farnborough FC 1-2 Weston-super-Mare (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).