Match details. National League North. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Oxford City have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D. Merthyr Town have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L.
The numbers. Oxford City score 2.2 and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Oxford City average 5.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Merthyr Town score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Merthyr Town average 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The read. Oxford City to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Oxford City the likelier winners; Oxford City are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Oxford City. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. Best bet: Oxford City or Draw at 1.21, 79% on the records (Oxford City unbeaten in 6 of 7; Merthyr Town failed to win 6 of 8). Backup: Oxford City or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Oxford City or draw and under 3.5 goals (Oxford City are a clear winner, no Unders); Oxford City or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Oxford City 1-0 Merthyr Town (11% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Oxford City or Under 2.5 GoalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.21
OXF 7 of 7 (100%) · MER 7 of 8 (88%)95.3%
Oxford City: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Merthyr Town: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Oxford City: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Oxford City's level
Oxford City or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.15
OXF 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 4 of 5 (80%)89.1%
Oxford City scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Merthyr Town trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Oxford City: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level
Double Chance: Oxford City or DrawMAININ CODES
1.21
OXF 6 of 7 (86%) · MER 6 of 8 (75%)85.5%
Oxford City unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Merthyr Town failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Oxford City: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Oxford City's level
Oxford City or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.12
OXF 6 of 7 (86%) · MER 6 of 8 (75%)85.3%
Oxford City: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Merthyr Town: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Oxford City: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Oxford City's level
Oxford City (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.32
OXF 4 of 5 (80%) · MER 3 of 5 (60%)82.8%
Oxford City won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Merthyr Town lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 70% · Oxford City: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Oxford City's level · won 4, refunded 3, lost 1
Oxford City to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.71
OXF 4 of 7 (57%) · MER 3 of 8 (38%)71.4%
Oxford City won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Merthyr Town lost 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 47% · Oxford City: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Oxford City's level
Oxford City 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.37
OXF 3 of 5 (60%) · MER 3 of 5 (60%)53.3%
Oxford City scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Merthyr Town trailed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Oxford City: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level
1X2 - 2UP: Oxford CityLEANPAGE ONLY
1.62
OXF 3 of 5 (60%) · MER 3 of 5 (60%)53.3%
Oxford City scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Merthyr Town trailed by 2 or lost in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Oxford City: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level
OXFORD CITY GOALS
Oxford City Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
OXF 6 of 7 (86%) · MER 6 of 8 (75%)86.3%
Oxford City scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Merthyr Town conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Oxford City: only games against sides at Merthyr Town's level · Merthyr Town: only games against sides at Oxford City's level
Left off the list: Oxford City or draw and under 3.5 goals (Oxford City are a clear winner - no Unders); Oxford City or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Oxford City are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–011.2%
Oxford City goals →
Merthyr Town goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-010%
3-06%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.8%
0-23%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.8%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
OXFORD CITYDWWWDWWLWW2.30 PPG
MERTHYR TOWNLDDLLDDWWL1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
OXFORD CITY HOMExMERTHYR TOWN AWAY
1.83SCORED A GAME1.150.67CONCEDED A GAME1.2360%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.88CORNERS A GAME6.001.75CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
OXFORD CITY OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.17+1.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.08+1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.21.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.012LEAGUE GAMES12
Oxford City: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
41%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
OXFORD CITY OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
MERTHYR TOWN OR DRAW
65%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
OXFORD CITYxMERTHYR TOWN
5GAMES61.80SCORED A GAME0.831.00CONCEDED A GAME1.002.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS33%60%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Oxford City have scored in 90% of their games.
Merthyr Town have scored in 80% of their games.
Oxford City kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Merthyr Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards