Buxton FC vs Harborough Town FC

Match details. National League North, National League North - 14. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Buxton FC are 8th on 20 points after 13 games, level on points with Chester, 1 point clear of Bedford Town. A win would take them above Chester. Harborough Town FC are 16th on 16 points after 12 games, level on points with Marine, 1 point clear of Scarborough Athletic. A win would take them above Marine.

Form. Buxton FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. Harborough Town FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.

The numbers. Buxton FC score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Buxton FC average 4.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Harborough Town FC score 1.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Harborough Town FC average 5.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.

The case against. Harborough Town FC's record still gives them 33% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The read. Buxton FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Buxton FC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Buxton FC. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.

The bets. Best bet: Buxton FC or Draw at 1.30, 77% on the records (a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or draw)). Leave: Buxton FC or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Harborough Town FC Under 1.5 goals (Buxton FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (Buxton FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Buxton FC 2-1 Harborough Town FC (10% chance).