Match details. Super League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Agia Paraskevi WFC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. Sirina Grevenon have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L.
The numbers. Agia Paraskevi WFC score 2.2 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Agia Paraskevi WFC average 6.5 shots (2.9 on target), 3.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Sirina Grevenon score 0.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Sirina Grevenon average 4.3 shots (3.0 on target), 2.3 corners and 0.0 cards a game.
The read. Agia Paraskevi WFC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Agia Paraskevi WFC the likelier winners; Agia Paraskevi WFC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Agia Paraskevi WFC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Agia Paraskevi WFC 2-1 Sirina Grevenon (10% chance).
The agreed story. Agia Paraskevi WFC or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).