Match details. Gamma Ethniki, Group 8 - 5. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Proodeftiki FC are 8th on 4 points after 4 games, level on points with Ionikos, level on points with PAO Rouf. A win would take them above Ionikos. Diagoras Rhodes are 5th on 4 points after 4 games, 5 points behind Apollon Smirnis, level on points with Ethnikos Piraeus.
Form. Proodeftiki FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D. Diagoras Rhodes have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L D.
The numbers. Proodeftiki FC score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Proodeftiki FC average 7.2 shots (2.5 on target), 4.0 corners and 4.2 cards a game. Diagoras Rhodes score one and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. Diagoras Rhodes average 4.8 shots (1.5 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Proodeftiki FC 1-1 Diagoras Rhodes (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).