DADOV

20:45Tue 27 Oct

CHE

Dover Athletic FC vs Chelmsford City

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

DAv

Under 3.5 Goals

Dover Athletic FC v Chelmsford City

England Amateur -… · 20:45

1.56odds

64%book

+10edge

3/3angles

THE READ

Match details. National League South, National League South - 14. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Dover Athletic FC are 11th on 19 points after 12 games, level on points with Folkestone Invicta, 1 point clear of Weston-super-Mare. A win would take them above Folkestone Invicta. Chelmsford City are 15th on 15 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Torquay, 1 point clear of Hemel Hempstead Town. A win would take them above Torquay.

Form. Dover Athletic FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W W. Chelmsford City have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D.

The numbers. Dover Athletic FC score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Dover Athletic FC average 2.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Chelmsford City score 1.9 and concede 0.9 a game in their last seven away, with three clean sheets. Chelmsford City average 4.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last seven meetings Dover Athletic FC have won two, drawn four and lost one. Two of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Dover Athletic FC won two, one was drawn and Chelmsford City won one. The last time they met, on 21 Mar 2026, it finished Dover Athletic FC 2-1 Chelmsford City.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 27% against the records' 61%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Five of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.56, 73% on the records (Dover Athletic FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7; Chelmsford City: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Dover Athletic FC 1-1 Chelmsford City (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.20

DOV 7 of 7 (100%) · CHE 4 of 7 (57%)88.8%

Dover Athletic FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Chelmsford City: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 5 of 6 · Dover Athletic FC: only games against sides at Chelmsford City's level · Chelmsford City: only games against sides at Dover Athletic FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.56

DOV 6 of 7 (86%) · CHE 4 of 7 (57%)73.7%

Dover Athletic FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Chelmsford City: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · Dover Athletic FC: only games against sides at Chelmsford City's level · Chelmsford City: only games against sides at Dover Athletic FC's level

DOVER ATHLETIC FC GOALS

Dover Athletic FC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.26

DOV 6 of 7 (86%) · CHE 5 of 7 (71%)69.3%

Dover Athletic FC scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Chelmsford City conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 3 of 6 · Dover Athletic FC: only games against sides at Chelmsford City's level · Chelmsford City: only games against sides at Dover Athletic FC's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.26

DOV 5 of 7 (71%) · CHE 4 of 7 (57%)60.7%

Dover Athletic FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Chelmsford City: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Dover Athletic FC: only games against sides at Chelmsford City's level · Chelmsford City: only games against sides at Dover Athletic FC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Dover Athletic FC goals →

Chelmsford City goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

DOVER ATHLETIC FCDWDWWWWWLD2.10 PPG

CHELMSFORD CITYDLWWDWDDDD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

DOVER ATHLETIC FC HOMExCHELMSFORD CITY AWAY

1.58SCORED A GAME1.551.50CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS40%25%FAILED TO SCORE18%2.00CORNERS A GAME4.002.00CARDS A GAME1.33

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.58POINTS A GAME1.18+0.08GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.45–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.412LEAGUE GAMES11

Dover Athletic FC: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

79%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

35%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

69%

NO · 85/90

DOVER ATHLETIC FC OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

CHELMSFORD CITY OR DRAW

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

DOVER ATHLETIC FCxCHELMSFORD CITY

6GAMES61.83SCORED A GAME2.001.83CONCEDED A GAME1.173.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.283%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS33%50%BOTH SCORE83%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 7

DOVER ATHLETIC FC 2 · 29%DRAW 4CHELMSFORD CITY 1 · 14%

3 of 7BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 7OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 7OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 7OVER 3.5 GOALS

2012-11-10Dover Athletic FC 1 – 1 Chelmsford City

2022-11-07Dover Athletic FC 0 – 0 Chelmsford City

2023-02-18Dover Athletic FC 0 – 0 Chelmsford City

2023-10-23Dover Athletic FC 3 – 3 Chelmsford City

2024-04-01Dover Athletic FC 1 – 0 Chelmsford City

2025-10-28Dover Athletic FC 0 – 1 Chelmsford City

2026-03-21Dover Athletic FC 2 – 1 Chelmsford City

TRENDS

Dover Athletic FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Chelmsford City have scored in 80% of their games.

Dover Athletic FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Chelmsford City kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards