PTPOR

03:00Mon 26 Oct

VEN

Portland Timbers II vs Ventura County FC

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. MLS Next Pro, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 03:00 Lagos time. It is played at Providence Park.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Portland Timbers II have won four, drawn five and lost none of their last nine league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D D W D. Ventura County FC have won six, drawn two and lost one of their last nine league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W D W.

The numbers. Portland Timbers II score 0.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Portland Timbers II average 4.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Ventura County FC score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Ventura County FC average 4.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Portland Timbers II 1-1 Ventura County FC (14% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Ventura County FC the favourite), goals in between.

The league run. Portland Timbers II: no win in their last three league games (D L D W W). Ventura County FC: one defeat in their last five league games (L W D W D).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POR 6 of 6 (100%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)89.1%

Portland Timbers II: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Ventura County FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Portland Timbers II: only games against sides at Ventura County FC's level · Ventura County FC: only games against sides at Portland Timbers II's level

PORTLAND TIMBERS II GOALS

Portland Timbers II Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

POR 4 of 6 (67%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)55.9%

Portland Timbers II scored in 4 of 6 at home · Ventura County FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Portland Timbers II: only games against sides at Ventura County FC's level · Ventura County FC: only games against sides at Portland Timbers II's level

Left off the list: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the numbers (46%) and the records (58%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Ventura County FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Ventura County FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Ventura County FC Over 0.5 Goals (Portland Timbers II's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Ventura County FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Ventura County FC 1UP (no result call); Ventura County FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 14.2%

Portland Timbers II goals →

Ventura County FC goals ↓

0-012%

1-012%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-111%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-26%

1-27%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-32%

1-33%

2-31%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.6%

1-40.7%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

PORTLAND TIMBERS IIWDDDWDWDWW2.00 PPG

VENTURA COUNTY FCDLWWDWDWWW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PORTLAND TIMBERS II HOMExVENTURA COUNTY FC AWAY

1.32SCORED A GAME2.071.04CONCEDED A GAME1.2950%BOTH SCORED70%50%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.10CORNERS A GAME4.832.28CARDS A GAME1.72

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.60POINTS A GAME2.00+0.60GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.43–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.21.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.65LEAGUE GAMES7

Ventura County FC: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

76%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

87%

OKAY · 85/90

PORTLAND TIMBERS II OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

VENTURA COUNTY FC OR DRAW

69%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PORTLAND TIMBERS IIxVENTURA COUNTY FC

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME2.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.602.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Portland Timbers II have scored in 80% of their games.

Ventura County FC have scored in 100% of their games.

Portland Timbers II kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Ventura County FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards