EDGE PICKGuabira Montero Under 1.5 goals · 72.4% · @1.33
Book 75% · Us 72%-3price too short
Backed by
Guabira Montero scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · CA Nacional Potosi conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 55%
· main loses on: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Division Profesional, Apertura - 23. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 23:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Nacional Potosi have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. Guabira Montero have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L.
The numbers. CA Nacional Potosi score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CA Nacional Potosi average 4.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Guabira Montero score 0.6 and concede 3.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Guabira Montero average 4.5 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
The case against. Guabira Montero's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. CA Nacional Potosi to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CA Nacional Potosi the likelier winners; CA Nacional Potosi are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Nacional Potosi. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.10, 78% on the records (CA Nacional Potosi: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Guabira Montero: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Guabira Montero Under 1.5 Goals at 1.33. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: CA Nacional Potosi Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (CA Nacional Potosi are a clear winner, no Unders); CA Nacional Potosi Over 0.5 Goals (CA Nacional Potosi's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: CA Nacional Potosi 2-1 Guabira Montero (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CA Nacional Potosi or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAN 3 of 5 (60%) · GUA 5 of 5 (100%)87.5%
CA Nacional Potosi: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Guabira Montero: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
CA Nacional Potosi (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.16
CAN 2 of 5 (40%) · GUA 5 of 5 (100%)81.6%
CA Nacional Potosi won 2 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Guabira Montero lost 5 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 49% · won 7, refunded 0, lost 3
CA Nacional Potosi or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
CAN 3 of 5 (60%) · GUA 5 of 5 (100%)78.8%
CA Nacional Potosi: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Guabira Montero: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
CA Nacional Potosi to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
CAN 2 of 5 (40%) · GUA 5 of 5 (100%)64.4%
CA Nacional Potosi won 2 of 5 at home · Guabira Montero lost 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 40%
CA Nacional Potosi or Draw & Over 1.5LEANHELD · the odds board 83%
1.21
CAN 2 of 5 (40%) · GUA 4 of 5 (80%)62.5%
CA Nacional Potosi: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Guabira Montero: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55%
CA Nacional Potosi 1UPLEANHELD · the odds board 83%
1.20
CAN 2 of 5 (40%) · GUA 2 of 5 (40%)60%
CA Nacional Potosi scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 2 of 5 at home · Guabira Montero trailed in 5 of 5 away
1X2 - 2UP: CA Nacional PotosiLEANPAGE ONLY
1.35
CAN 2 of 5 (40%) · GUA 2 of 5 (40%)60%
CA Nacional Potosi scored first 2 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 2 · led by 2 or won in 2 of 5 at home · Guabira Montero trailed by 2 or lost in 5 of 5 away
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAN 5 of 5 (100%) · GUA 5 of 5 (100%)95.1%
CA Nacional Potosi: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Guabira Montero: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100%
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.10
CAN 3 of 5 (60%) · GUA 4 of 5 (80%)77%
CA Nacional Potosi: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Guabira Montero: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
GUABIRA MONTERO GOALS
Guabira Montero Under 1.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.33
CAN 5 of 5 (100%) · GUA 4 of 5 (80%)72.4%
Guabira Montero scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · CA Nacional Potosi conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 55%
Guabira Montero Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
CAN 3 of 5 (60%) · GUA 3 of 5 (60%)55.2%
Guabira Montero scored in 3 of 5 away · CA Nacional Potosi conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
Left off the list: CA Nacional Potosi Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (43%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (CA Nacional Potosi are a clear winner - no Unders); CA Nacional Potosi Over 0.5 Goals (CA Nacional Potosi's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); CA Nacional Potosi Over 1.5 goals (CA Nacional Potosi's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (CA Nacional Potosi are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.8%
CA Nacional Potosi goals →
Guabira Montero goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
CA NACIONAL POTOSILLDWWDWLDL1.20 PPG
GUABIRA MONTERODLWWLLWWLL1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CA NACIONAL POTOSI HOMExGUABIRA MONTERO AWAY
1.45SCORED A GAME1.551.41CONCEDED A GAME2.0050%BOTH SCORED80%20%CLEAN SHEETS0%4.27CORNERS A GAME4.502.09CARDS A GAME2.91
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
57%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
87%
OKAY · 85/90
CA NACIONAL POTOSI OR DRAW
85%
OKAY · 80/85
GUABIRA MONTERO OR DRAW
33%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (4 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
CA Nacional Potosi have scored in 70% of their games.
Guabira Montero have scored in 80% of their games.
CA Nacional Potosi kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Guabira Montero kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards