Match details. 2. Liga, Division B, Group 4. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Khimik Dzerzhinsk have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. FC Krylia Sovetov Samara-2 have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Khimik Dzerzhinsk score 2.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Khimik Dzerzhinsk average 5.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FC Krylia Sovetov Samara-2 score one and concede 1.7 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FC Krylia Sovetov Samara-2 average 4.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. FC Krylia Sovetov Samara-2's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. Khimik Dzerzhinsk to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Khimik Dzerzhinsk the likelier winners; Khimik Dzerzhinsk are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Khimik Dzerzhinsk. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Khimik Dzerzhinsk or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Khimik Dzerzhinsk Over 1.5 Goals (FC Krylia Sovetov Samara-2's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2-1 FC Krylia Sovetov Samara-2 (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).