KLKL

13:00Sun 25 Oct

KF Lepenci vs KF Liria Prizren

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Liga e Pare, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. KF Lepenci are 15th on 9 points after 11 games, level on points with Ramiz Sadiku, level on points with Kika. A win would take them above Ramiz Sadiku. KF Liria Prizren are 2nd on 23 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Prishtina e Re, 2 points clear of Rilindja 1974. A win would take them above Prishtina e Re.

Form. KF Lepenci have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D W L. In this competition KF Lepenci have gone L D D W L L. KF Liria Prizren have won six, drawn two and lost one of their last nine league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D W W. In this competition KF Liria Prizren have gone W W D W W W.

The numbers. KF Lepenci score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. KF Liria Prizren score 1.3 and concede 0.3 a game over their last nine, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 76% against the records' 45%.

The read. No firm call: KF Liria Prizren are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make KF Liria Prizren the likelier winners; KF Liria Prizren are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KF Liria Prizren. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: KF Lepenci 0-1 KF Liria Prizren (18% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (KF Liria Prizren the favourite), a tight game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

KF Liria Prizren or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KL 9 of 9 (100%) · KL 3 of 5 (60%)63.7%

KF Liria Prizren: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · KF Lepenci: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · KF Liria Prizren: only games against sides at KF Lepenci's level · KF Lepenci: only games against sides at KF Liria Prizren's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KL 5 of 5 (100%) · KL 9 of 9 (100%)97%

KF Lepenci: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · KF Liria Prizren: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · KF Lepenci: only games against sides at KF Liria Prizren's level · KF Liria Prizren: only games against sides at KF Lepenci's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KL 5 of 5 (100%) · KL 9 of 9 (100%)97%

KF Lepenci: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · KF Liria Prizren: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · KF Lepenci: only games against sides at KF Liria Prizren's level · KF Liria Prizren: only games against sides at KF Lepenci's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KL 4 of 5 (80%) · KL 7 of 9 (78%)78.2%

KF Lepenci: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · KF Liria Prizren: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · KF Lepenci: only games against sides at KF Liria Prizren's level · KF Liria Prizren: only games against sides at KF Lepenci's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.69

KL 3 of 5 (60%) · KL 6 of 9 (67%)43.7%

KF Lepenci: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · KF Liria Prizren: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · KF Lepenci: only games against sides at KF Liria Prizren's level · KF Liria Prizren: only games against sides at KF Lepenci's level

KF LIRIA PRIZREN GOALS

KF Liria Prizren Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KL 6 of 9 (67%) · KL 3 of 5 (60%)47%

KF Liria Prizren scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · KF Lepenci conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 68% · KF Liria Prizren: only games against sides at KF Lepenci's level · KF Lepenci: only games against sides at KF Liria Prizren's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KL 6 of 7 (86%) · KL 6 of 8 (75%)81.4%

KF Lepenci: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · KF Liria Prizren: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · KF Lepenci: only games against sides at KF Liria Prizren's level · KF Liria Prizren: only games against sides at KF Lepenci's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 17.5%

KF Lepenci goals →

KF Liria Prizren goals ↓

0-016%

1-010%

2-04%

3-00.8%

4-00.1%

5-00.0%

0-117%

1-113%

2-14%

3-11.0%

4-10.2%

5-10.0%

0-211%

1-28%

2-23%

3-20.6%

4-20.1%

5-20.0%

0-34%

1-33%

2-31%

3-30.2%

4-30.0%

5-30.0%

0-41%

1-40.9%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

KF LEPENCIDDDDLLWDDL0.90 PPG

KF LIRIA PRIZRENDWLWWWDWW2.22 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KF LEPENCI HOMExKF LIRIA PRIZREN AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.331.30CONCEDED A GAME0.3330%CLEAN SHEETS60%45%FAILED TO SCORE30%

TRENDS

KF Lepenci have scored in 60% of their games.

KF Liria Prizren have scored in 70% of their games.

KF Lepenci kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

KF Liria Prizren kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table