Match details. 2. CFL. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. FK Iskra Danilovgrad have won four, drawn two and lost three of their last nine league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W L W. FK Budva have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D D L L.
The numbers. FK Iskra Danilovgrad score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FK Budva score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Budva average 7.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FK Iskra Danilovgrad 1-1 FK Budva (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (FK Iskra Danilovgrad the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).