SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 9

CHCDH

12:00Sun 25 Oct

UDT

CD Huetor Vega vs UD Torre Del Mar

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 9. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.

Form. CD Huetor Vega have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L W D L. UD Torre Del Mar have won two, drawn one and lost five of their last eight league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L L L.

The numbers. CD Huetor Vega score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CD Huetor Vega average 12.5 shots (4.8 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.0 cards a game. UD Torre Del Mar score 0.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last eight, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. UD Torre Del Mar average 6.2 shots (2.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.4 cards a game.

The case against. UD Torre Del Mar's record still gives them 23% to win.

The read. CD Huetor Vega to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Huetor Vega the likelier winners; CD Huetor Vega are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Huetor Vega. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CD Huetor Vega 1-0 UD Torre Del Mar (14% chance).

The agreed story. CD Huetor Vega or the draw, a tight game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDH 5 of 5 (100%) · UDT 10 of 10 (100%)97%

CD Huetor Vega: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · UD Torre Del Mar: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · CD Huetor Vega: only games against sides at UD Torre Del Mar's level · UD Torre Del Mar: only games against sides at CD Huetor Vega's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDH 5 of 5 (100%) · UDT 10 of 10 (100%)97%

CD Huetor Vega: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · UD Torre Del Mar: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · CD Huetor Vega: only games against sides at UD Torre Del Mar's level · UD Torre Del Mar: only games against sides at CD Huetor Vega's level

CD HUETOR VEGA GOALS

CD Huetor Vega Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDH 4 of 5 (80%) · UDT 9 of 10 (90%)65.3%

CD Huetor Vega scored in 4 of 5 at home · UD Torre Del Mar conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · CD Huetor Vega: only games against sides at UD Torre Del Mar's level · UD Torre Del Mar: only games against sides at CD Huetor Vega's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 14.1%

CD Huetor Vega goals →

UD Torre Del Mar goals ↓

0-011%

1-014%

2-011%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.4%

0-24%

1-25%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.2%

0-31%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.5%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.2%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD HUETOR VEGADLWDLLDWLD1.00 PPG

UD TORRE DEL MARLLLWDLLLWL0.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD HUETOR VEGA HOMExUD TORRE DEL MAR AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME0.701.80CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS10%3.50CORNERS A GAME4.001.00CARDS A GAME3.40

TRENDS

CD Huetor Vega have scored in 70% of their games.

UD Torre Del Mar have scored in 50% of their games.

CD Huetor Vega kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

UD Torre Del Mar kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards