SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 9

AMATL

12:00Sun 25 Oct

CDA

Atletico Mancha Real vs CD Alhaurino

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 9. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.

Form. Atletico Mancha Real have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L D L. CD Alhaurino have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W L L W.

The numbers. Atletico Mancha Real score 0.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Atletico Mancha Real average 6.5 shots (3.2 on target), 2.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game. CD Alhaurino score 1.3 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Alhaurino average 9.0 shots (2.9 on target), 3.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

The case against. Atletico Mancha Real's record still gives them 20% to win.

The read. CD Alhaurino to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Alhaurino the likelier winners; CD Alhaurino are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Alhaurino. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Atletico Mancha Real 0-1 CD Alhaurino (12% chance).

The agreed story. CD Alhaurino or the draw, a tight game.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CD Alhaurino or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDA 8 of 10 (80%) · ATL 8 of 10 (80%)81%

CD Alhaurino: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mancha Real: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · CD Alhaurino: only games against sides at Atletico Mancha Real's level · Atletico Mancha Real: only games against sides at CD Alhaurino's level

CD Alhaurino (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDA 4 of 7 (57%) · ATL 5 of 6 (83%)71.2%

CD Alhaurino won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Atletico Mancha Real lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 70% · CD Alhaurino: only games against sides at Atletico Mancha Real's level · Atletico Mancha Real: only games against sides at CD Alhaurino's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 2

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 10 of 10 (100%) · CDA 10 of 10 (100%)97%

Atletico Mancha Real: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alhaurino: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Atletico Mancha Real: only games against sides at CD Alhaurino's level · CD Alhaurino: only games against sides at Atletico Mancha Real's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 10 of 10 (100%) · CDA 10 of 10 (100%)97%

Atletico Mancha Real: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alhaurino: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Atletico Mancha Real: only games against sides at CD Alhaurino's level · CD Alhaurino: only games against sides at Atletico Mancha Real's level

ATLETICO MANCHA REAL GOALS

Atletico Mancha Real Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 7 of 10 (70%) · CDA 6 of 10 (60%)47%

Atletico Mancha Real scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alhaurino conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Atletico Mancha Real: only games against sides at CD Alhaurino's level · CD Alhaurino: only games against sides at Atletico Mancha Real's level

CD ALHAURINO GOALS

CD Alhaurino Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDA 7 of 10 (70%) · ATL 10 of 10 (100%)67%

CD Alhaurino scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atletico Mancha Real conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · CD Alhaurino: only games against sides at Atletico Mancha Real's level · Atletico Mancha Real: only games against sides at CD Alhaurino's level

Left off the list: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the numbers (48%) and the records (55%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); CD Alhaurino or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); CD Alhaurino or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 12.5%

Atletico Mancha Real goals →

CD Alhaurino goals ↓

0-010%

1-08%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-112%

1-113%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-210%

1-29%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-35%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.8%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.5%

1-50.5%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ATLETICO MANCHA REALDLDDLLDLLW0.70 PPG

CD ALHAURINOWWDDLWLLWD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ATLETICO MANCHA REAL HOMExCD ALHAURINO AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.301.60CONCEDED A GAME1.000%CLEAN SHEETS40%2.50CORNERS A GAME3.572.25CARDS A GAME3.00

TRENDS

Atletico Mancha Real have scored in 70% of their games.

CD Alhaurino have scored in 70% of their games.

Atletico Mancha Real kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

CD Alhaurino kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards