Match details. Superliga, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud have won six, drawn none and lost two of their last eight league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W W W. FCS Feminin Politehnica Timisoara have won five, drawn none and lost three of their last eight league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W L W.
The numbers. CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud score five and concede 1.2 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets. CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud average 18.3 shots (11.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game. FCS Feminin Politehnica Timisoara score 4.4 and concede 1.1 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FCS Feminin Politehnica Timisoara average 13.7 shots (7.2 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 35% against the records' 60%.
The read. No firm call: CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud the likelier winners; CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 85%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.34, rated 85% (CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; FCS Feminin Politehnica Timisoara: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Predicted score: CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud 3-2 FCS Feminin Politehnica Timisoara (5% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).