Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at K's Denki Stadium Mito.
What's at stake. Mito Hollyhock are 17th on 9 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Kyoto Sanga, 1 point clear of Tokyo Verdy. A win would take them above Kyoto Sanga. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 3rd on 26 points after 12 games, 1 point behind FC Tokyo, 1 point clear of Kashiwa Reysol. A win would take them above FC Tokyo.
Form. Mito Hollyhock have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition Mito Hollyhock have gone L L L L L L. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition Sanfrecce Hiroshima have gone W L W W W W.
The numbers. Mito Hollyhock score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mito Hollyhock average 7.4 shots (2.5 on target), 3.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sanfrecce Hiroshima average 19.9 shots (6.9 on target), 8.1 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 66% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 27 Aug 2014, it finished Mito Hollyhock 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The case against. Mito Hollyhock's record still gives them 27% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Sanfrecce Hiroshima the likelier winners; Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 1.11, 81% on the records (Sanfrecce Hiroshima unbeaten in 3 of 5 away; Mito Hollyhock failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Backup: Sanfrecce Hiroshima Over 0.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Sanfrecce Hiroshima are a clear winner, no Unders); Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw and under 3.5 goals (Sanfrecce Hiroshima are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Sanfrecce Hiroshima are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Mito Hollyhock 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).