FOFAG

06:00Sat 31 Oct

FCT

Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at JFE Harenokuni Stadium, Okayama.

What's at stake. Fagiano Okayama are 10th on 16 points after 12 games, 2 points behind Yokohama F. Marinos, 2 points clear of Nagoya Grampus. A win would take them above Yokohama F. Marinos. FC Tokyo are 2nd on 27 points after 12 games, level on points with Machida Zelvia, 1 point clear of Sanfrecce Hiroshima. A win would take them above Machida Zelvia.

Form. Fagiano Okayama have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. FC Tokyo have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.

The numbers. Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Fagiano Okayama average 13.0 shots (3.4 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. FC Tokyo score 2.4 and concede 0.1 a game over their last ten, with nine clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Tokyo average 17.6 shots (5.8 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Fagiano Okayama have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 25 Oct 2025, it finished Fagiano Okayama 1-3 FC Tokyo: Fagiano Okayama had 11 shots to 11, 38% of the ball, two yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 49% against the records' 71%.

The read. No firm call: FC Tokyo are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. FC Tokyo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Tokyo. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (FC Tokyo are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Tokyo are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Tokyo are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 1-2 FC Tokyo (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

FAGIANO OKAYAMA GOALS

Fagiano Okayama Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.33

FAG 4 of 7 (57%) · FCT 7 of 7 (100%)67.2%

Fagiano Okayama scored under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Tokyo conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at FC Tokyo's level · FC Tokyo: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level

FC TOKYO GOALS

FC Tokyo Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.23

FAG 6 of 7 (86%) · FCT 6 of 7 (86%)82.3%

FC Tokyo scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Fagiano Okayama conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · FC Tokyo: only games against sides at Fagiano Okayama's level · Fagiano Okayama: only games against sides at FC Tokyo's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (FC Tokyo are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Tokyo are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (FC Tokyo are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.8%

Fagiano Okayama goals →

FC Tokyo goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11.0%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41.0%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FAGIANO OKAYAMALWLDLWWLWW1.60 PPG

FC TOKYOWDWLWWWWWW2.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FAGIANO OKAYAMA HOMExFC TOKYO AWAY

1.25SCORED A GAME2.251.42CONCEDED A GAME0.6720%CLEAN SHEETS90%17%FAILED TO SCORE8%6.25CORNERS A GAME5.332.75CARDS A GAME1.751.22xG2.291.27xG AGAINST0.93

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.36POINTS A GAME2.30-0.18GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.70-0.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+6.40.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.611LEAGUE GAMES10

FC Tokyo: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

FC TOKYO 0:2 HANDICAP

–

54 OF 60

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

71%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

88%

OKAY · 85/90

FAGIANO OKAYAMA OR DRAW

48%

NO · 80/85

FC TOKYO OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FAGIANO OKAYAMAxFC TOKYO

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME2.801.80CONCEDED A GAME0.002.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE0%3.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.210.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

FAGIANO OKAYAMA 1 · 50%DRAW 0FC TOKYO 1 · 50%

2025-04-06Fagiano Okayama 1 – 0 FC Tokyo

2025-10-25Fagiano Okayama 1 – 3 FC Tokyo

TRENDS

Fagiano Okayama have scored in 90% of their games.

FC Tokyo have scored in 80% of their games.

Fagiano Okayama kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

FC Tokyo kept a clean sheet in 90% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards