Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 03:30 Lagos time. It is played at Lumen Field, Seattle. The referee is Lorenzo Hernandez.
What's at stake. Seattle Sounders are 7th on 43 points after 31 games, 4 points behind Los Angeles FC, 1 point clear of Colorado Rapids. Houston Dynamo are 5th on 48 points after 31 games, level on points with San Jose Earthquakes, 1 point clear of Los Angeles FC. A win would take them above San Jose Earthquakes.
Team news. Seattle Sounders are without Y. Gomez Andrade (hamstring injury), N. Petkovic (knee injury), P. de La Vega (calf injury), D. Musovski (head injury), P. Rothrock (hamstring injury), Y. Gomez Andrade (hamstring injury). Houston Dynamo are without J. Maurer (back injury), M. Saracchi (lower-body injury), Felipe Andrade (hamstring injury), Guilherme (lower-body injury), H. Herrera (lower-body injury), J. Maurer (back injury).
Form. Seattle Sounders have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W W. In this competition Seattle Sounders have gone D D L W W W. Houston Dynamo have won one, drawn seven and lost two of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D L. In this competition Houston Dynamo have gone D D D D L D.
The numbers. Seattle Sounders score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Seattle Sounders average 14.6 shots (5.6 on target), 6.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Houston Dynamo score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Houston Dynamo average 12.1 shots (3.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Seattle Sounders have won five, drawn two and lost none. Two of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Seattle Sounders won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 5 Apr 2026, it finished Seattle Sounders 1-0 Houston Dynamo: Seattle Sounders had 6 shots to 13, 55% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The read. Seattle Sounders to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Seattle Sounders the likelier winners; Seattle Sounders are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Seattle Sounders. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%. Five of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.53, 74% on the records (Seattle Sounders: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Houston Dynamo: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Houston Dynamo Under 1.5 goals (Houston Dynamo's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Seattle Sounders 1-0 Houston Dynamo (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).