Match details. Seconde Ligue, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.
Form. LOSC Lille have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D D D W. Thonon Evian GG FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L D W.
The numbers. LOSC Lille score two and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. LOSC Lille average 8.0 shots (2.3 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Thonon Evian GG FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: LOSC Lille 1-1 Thonon Evian GG FC (12% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (LOSC Lille the favourite), goals in between.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).