AJ Auxerre vs Le Mans FC
Match details. Seconde Ligue, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. AJ Auxerre have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W W L. Le Mans FC have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W D W W.
The numbers. AJ Auxerre score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. AJ Auxerre average 13.0 shots (3.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 0.3 cards a game. Le Mans FC score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last seven away, with two clean sheets. Le Mans FC average 9.3 shots (3.3 on target), 5.3 corners and 0.7 cards a game.
The case against. Le Mans FC's record still gives them 52% to win.
The read. AJ Auxerre or the draw. An open game. Le Mans FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Le Mans FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24, rated 83% (AJ Auxerre: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10; Le Mans FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.42. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: AJ Auxerre 2-1 Le Mans FC (7% chance).
The agreed story. AJ Auxerre or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).