Match details. 2. CFL. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. FK Kom Podgorica have won five, drawn three and lost one of their last nine league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D W L. FK Lovcen have won four, drawn one and lost four of their last nine league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L W L.
The numbers. FK Kom Podgorica score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Kom Podgorica average 1.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. FK Lovcen score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FK Lovcen average 1.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FK Kom Podgorica 1-1 FK Lovcen (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (FK Lovcen the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).