Match details. FA Cup, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Exeter City Lfc have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. Hashtag United Wfc have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L L.
The numbers. Exeter City Lfc score 2.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Hashtag United Wfc score 4.1 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal.
The case against. Exeter City Lfc's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. Hashtag United Wfc to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Hashtag United Wfc the likelier winners; Hashtag United Wfc are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.09, rated 90% (Exeter City Lfc: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Hashtag United Wfc: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: Hashtag United Wfc or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Exeter City Lfc 1-3 Hashtag United Wfc (7% chance).
The agreed story. Hashtag United Wfc or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).