AFF Guatemala vs San Benito FC
Match details. Primera Division. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. AFF Guatemala have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. San Benito FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D.
The numbers. AFF Guatemala score 0.3 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and seven games without a goal. AFF Guatemala average 7.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game. San Benito FC score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. San Benito FC average 3.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 38% against the records' 60%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The read. No firm call: San Benito FC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make San Benito FC the likelier winners; San Benito FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour San Benito FC.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: AFF Guatemala 0-1 San Benito FC (12% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (San Benito FC the favourite), goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).