Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AC Libertas are 8th on 8 points after 5 games, level on points with Fiorentino, 1 point clear of Domagnano. A win would take them above Fiorentino. SS Folgore Falciano Calcio are 3rd on 15 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Tre Penne, 2 points clear of Tre Fiori. A win would take them above Tre Penne.
Form. AC Libertas have won two, drawn two and lost four of their last eight league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D L W D. SS Folgore Falciano Calcio have won seven, drawn none and lost none of their last seven league games, 3.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. AC Libertas score 0.9 and concede 2.6 a game over their last eight, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. SS Folgore Falciano Calcio score 3.6 and concede 0.7 a game over their last seven, with four clean sheets. SS Folgore Falciano Calcio average 11.4 shots (3.8 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AC Libertas have won two, drawn three and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, SS Folgore Falciano Calcio won four. The last time they met, on 9 Sep 2026, it finished AC Libertas 0-2 SS Folgore Falciano Calcio.
The read. SS Folgore Falciano Calcio to win. An open game. SS Folgore Falciano Calcio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SS Folgore Falciano Calcio; the meetings favour SS Folgore Falciano Calcio. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or SS Folgore Falciano Calcio at 1.17, rated 71% (SS Folgore Falciano Calcio unbeaten in 8 of 9; AC Libertas failed to win 7 of 9). Predicted score: AC Libertas 1-2 SS Folgore Falciano Calcio (9% chance).
The agreed story. SS Folgore Falciano Calcio or the draw, an open game.
The league run. AC Libertas: one defeat in their last five league games (W D L W D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).