Chabab Ben Guerir vs Chabab Mohammedia
Match details. Botola Pro D2, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Chabab Ben Guerir are 12th on 4 points after 4 games, 1 point behind KAC Kenitra, level on points with Chabab Atl. Khenifra. A win would take them above KAC Kenitra. Chabab Mohammedia are 15th on 2 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Union Sportive Boujaad, 1 point clear of Riadi Salmi. A win would take them above Union Sportive Boujaad.
Form. Chabab Ben Guerir have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W D. Chabab Mohammedia have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W.
The numbers. Chabab Ben Guerir score 0.4 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Chabab Mohammedia score 0.9 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Chabab Mohammedia average 6.6 shots (3.0 on target), 3.1 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 15 May 2026, it finished Chabab Ben Guerir 3-0 Chabab Mohammedia.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 19%. Three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 2.5 Goals at 1.36, 81% on the records (Chabab Ben Guerir: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Chabab Mohammedia: under 2.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: Chabab Ben Guerir or Draw at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Chabab Ben Guerir or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Chabab Ben Guerir Over 0.5 Goals (Chabab Ben Guerir's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Chabab Ben Guerir 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia (18% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).