KUKRU

14:00Sun 25 Oct

AMA

Kruger United vs AmaZulu FC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Knockout Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Kruger United have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. AmaZulu FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.

The numbers. Kruger United score 0.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Kruger United average 12.8 shots (3.2 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. AmaZulu FC score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 37% against the records' 71%.

The read. No firm call: AmaZulu FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AmaZulu FC the likelier winners; AmaZulu FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AmaZulu FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kruger United 1-1 AmaZulu FC (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

AmaZulu FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KRU 5 of 6 (83%) · AMA 8 of 8 (100%)92.8%

AmaZulu FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Kruger United: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Kruger United: only games against sides at AmaZulu FC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KRU 8 of 8 (100%) · AMA 5 of 6 (83%)94.7%

Kruger United: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AmaZulu FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · Kruger United: only games against sides at AmaZulu FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KRU 8 of 8 (100%) · AMA 5 of 6 (83%)87%

Kruger United: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AmaZulu FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · Kruger United: only games against sides at AmaZulu FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.24

KRU 6 of 8 (75%) · AMA 5 of 6 (83%)72.4%

Kruger United: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AmaZulu FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 82% · Kruger United: only games against sides at AmaZulu FC's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.68

KRU 5 of 8 (62%) · AMA 3 of 6 (50%)50.5%

Kruger United: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · AmaZulu FC: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 66% · Kruger United: only games against sides at AmaZulu FC's level

AMAZULU FC GOALS

AmaZulu FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

KRU 6 of 6 (100%) · AMA 5 of 8 (62%)82.8%

AmaZulu FC scored in 6 of 6 away · Kruger United conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Kruger United: only games against sides at AmaZulu FC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 11.7%

Kruger United goals →

AmaZulu FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-06%

2-03%

3-00.8%

4-00.2%

5-00.0%

0-112%

1-112%

2-15%

3-11%

4-10.3%

5-10.1%

0-211%

1-210%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-36%

1-36%

2-33%

3-30.8%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-43%

1-43%

2-41%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-51.0%

1-50.9%

2-50.4%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

KRUGER UNITEDWDLDLLLWLW1.10 PPG

AMAZULU FCLWWDWLWWWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

KRUGER UNITED HOMExAMAZULU FC AWAY

0.70SCORED A GAME1.301.40CONCEDED A GAME0.9040%CLEAN SHEETS50%50%FAILED TO SCORE0%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.88POINTS A GAME2.38-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50+0.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.01.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.48LEAGUE GAMES8

AmaZulu FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

AMAZULU FC 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

52%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

38%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

KRUGER UNITED OR DRAW

15%

NO · 80/85

AMAZULU FC OR DRAW

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

KRUGER UNITEDxAMAZULU FC

5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.401.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.040%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%0%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Kruger United have scored in 60% of their games.

AmaZulu FC have scored in 100% of their games.

Kruger United kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

AmaZulu FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetscornerscards