Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 15. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 02:07 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Akron, Guadalajara. The referee is Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez.
What's at stake. CD Guadalajara are 4th on 26 points after 14 games, level on points with Cruz Azul, 3 points clear of Toluca. A win would take them above Cruz Azul. Atlante FC are 16th on 14 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Tigres UANL, 4 points clear of Necaxa. A win would take them above Tigres UANL.
Form. CD Guadalajara have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. In this competition CD Guadalajara have gone W W D D L D. Atlante FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition Atlante FC have gone L W L L W D.
The numbers. CD Guadalajara score two and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CD Guadalajara average 14.0 shots (4.8 on target), 6.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Atlante FC score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Atlante FC average 17.4 shots (5.8 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.
The read. CD Guadalajara to win. Their goals for and against make CD Guadalajara the likelier winners; CD Guadalajara are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Guadalajara.
The bets. Best bet: CD Guadalajara or Draw at 1.13, 84% on the records (CD Guadalajara unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Atlante FC failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: CD Guadalajara or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: CD Guadalajara 1-0 Atlante FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).