Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC vs CD Mineros de Zacatecas
Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura - 15. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC are 9th on 19 points after 14 games, level on points with Tlaxcala, 1 point clear of Mineros de Zacatecas. A win would take them above Tlaxcala. CD Mineros de Zacatecas are 10th on 18 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Alebrijes de Oaxaca, 1 point clear of Tapatío. A win would take them above Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
Form. Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. CD Mineros de Zacatecas have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W.
The numbers. Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC average 3.4 corners and 3.1 cards a game. CD Mineros de Zacatecas score 1.2 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CD Mineros de Zacatecas average 3.3 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC have won three, drawn four and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC won one, one was drawn and CD Mineros de Zacatecas won two. The last time they met, on 31 Jan 2026, it finished Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC 2-0 CD Mineros de Zacatecas.
The case against. Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC's record still gives them 52% to win.
The read. CD Mineros de Zacatecas or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Alebrijes de Oaxaca FC 1-2 CD Mineros de Zacatecas (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).