Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 03:30 Lagos time. It is played at PayPal Park, San Jose, California. The referee is Ramy Touchan.
What's at stake. San Jose Earthquakes are 4th on 48 points after 31 games, 3 points behind St. Louis City, level on points with Houston Dynamo. A win would take them level on points with St. Louis City. Colorado Rapids are 8th on 42 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Seattle Sounders, 1 point clear of Los Angeles Galaxy. A win would take them above Seattle Sounders.
Team news. San Jose Earthquakes are without N. Adimabua (hernia), D. Johnson (lower-body injury), D. Jones (achilles tendon injury), J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza (lower-body injury), N. Adimabua (hernia), D. Johnson (lower-body injury). Colorado Rapids are without R. Cannon (leg injury), Y. Maziz (leg injury), I. Sadiq (leg injury), Z. Steffen (shoulder injury), A. Fadal (injury), R. Cannon (leg injury).
Form. San Jose Earthquakes have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W. In this competition San Jose Earthquakes have gone L D D D W D. Colorado Rapids have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D L. In this competition Colorado Rapids have gone W D D D L D.
The numbers. San Jose Earthquakes score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. San Jose Earthquakes average 12.4 shots (4.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Colorado Rapids score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Colorado Rapids average 13.8 shots (5.6 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings San Jose Earthquakes have won four, drawn two and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, San Jose Earthquakes won one, one was drawn and Colorado Rapids won two. The last time they met, on 11 Oct 2026, it finished San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Colorado Rapids: San Jose Earthquakes had 9 shots to 13, 37% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. Colorado Rapids's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. San Jose Earthquakes to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make San Jose Earthquakes the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: San Jose Earthquakes or Draw at 1.40, 74% on the records (San Jose Earthquakes unbeaten in 9 of 10; Colorado Rapids failed to win 7 of 10). Backup: San Jose Earthquakes Over 0.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (San Jose Earthquakes are a clear winner, no Unders); San Jose Earthquakes or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (San Jose Earthquakes are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Colorado Rapids (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).