Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Allianz Field, Sao Paulo. The referee is Serhiy Boiko.
What's at stake. Minnesota United FC are 13th on 35 points after 31 games, level on points with San Diego, 1 point clear of Austin. A win would take them above San Diego. Sporting Kansas City are 15th on 22 points after 31 games, 12 points behind Austin. Minnesota United FC have nothing left to play for. Sporting Kansas City have nothing left to play for.
Team news. Minnesota United FC are without P. Stroud (muscle injury), W. Trapp (concussion), A. Smir (knee injury), P. Stroud (muscle injury), W. Trapp (concussion), A. Smir (knee injury). Sporting Kansas City are without O. Blorian (chest injury), Diego Borges (groin injury), M. Mosquera (hamstring injury), S. Reid (hamstring injury), J. Reynolds (muscle injury), Z. Bassong (hamstring injury).
Form. Minnesota United FC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D L. In this competition Minnesota United FC have gone D W D D L L. Sporting Kansas City have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Sporting Kansas City have gone L L L D L W.
The numbers. Minnesota United FC score 2.2 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Minnesota United FC average 14.8 shots (4.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Sporting Kansas City score 1.7 and concede 2.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Sporting Kansas City average 13.9 shots (5.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Minnesota United FC have won four, drawn one and lost four. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Minnesota United FC won two, one was drawn and Sporting Kansas City won one. The last time they met, on 23 Jul 2026, it finished Minnesota United FC 1-2 Sporting Kansas City: Minnesota United FC had 16 shots to 11, 66% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. Sporting Kansas City's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Minnesota United FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Minnesota United FC the likelier winners; Minnesota United FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Minnesota United FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 91%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Minnesota United FC or Draw at 1.14, 82% on the records (Minnesota United FC unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; Sporting Kansas City failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: Minnesota United FC or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Minnesota United FC Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (Minnesota United FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Minnesota United FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Minnesota United FC 2-1 Sporting Kansas City (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).