FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Toyota Stadium(Texas), Frisco. The referee is Sergii Demianchuk.
What's at stake. FC Dallas are 2nd on 54 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Vancouver Whitecaps, 3 points clear of St. Louis City. A win would take them above Vancouver Whitecaps. Columbus Crew are 10th on 38 points after 31 games, 1 point behind New York Red Bulls, 2 points clear of Toronto FC. A win would take them above New York Red Bulls. Columbus Crew have nothing left to play for, while FC Dallas need the win.
Team news. FC Dallas are without L. Farrington (lower-body injury), S. Sarver (red card), Geovane Jesus (knee injury), L. Farrington (lower-body injury), S. Sarver (red card), Geovane Jesus (knee injury). Columbus Crew are without W. Abou Ali (knee injury), S. Bangoura (red card), R. Camacho (chest injury), E. Bailly (leg injury), A. Gomes (back injury), B. Mendez (thigh injury).
Form. FC Dallas have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W. In this competition FC Dallas have gone W D W L W D. Columbus Crew have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Columbus Crew have gone W W W L W W.
The numbers. FC Dallas score 1.8 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. FC Dallas average 13.1 shots (4.9 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Columbus Crew score two and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Columbus Crew average 15.9 shots (6.8 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Dallas have won one, drawn five and lost four. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, three were drawn and Columbus Crew won one. The last time they met, on 24 Sep 2023, it finished FC Dallas 1-1 Columbus Crew: FC Dallas had 8 shots to 13, 47% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Columbus Crew's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. FC Dallas or the draw. An open game. FC Dallas are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 77% on the records (FC Dallas: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home; Columbus Crew: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: FC Dallas Over 0.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Dallas or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Dallas 2-1 Columbus Crew (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).