Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 01:30 Lagos time. It is played at Q2 Stadium, Austin. The referee is Ricardo Montero Araya.
What's at stake. Austin FC are 14th on 34 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Minnesota United FC, 12 points clear of Sporting Kansas City. A win would take them above Minnesota United FC. Real Salt Lake are 10th on 39 points after 31 games, 2 points behind Los Angeles Galaxy, 2 points clear of Portland Timbers. A win would take them above Los Angeles Galaxy. Austin FC have nothing left to play for, while Real Salt Lake need the win.
Team news. Austin FC are without C. Applewhite (muscle injury), J. Bell (abdominal strain), E. Torres (injury), C. Applewhite (muscle injury), J. Bell (abdominal strain), E. Torres (injury). Real Salt Lake are without E. Eneli (knee injury), D. Luna (knee injury), J. J. Arias (hamstring injury), G. Dillon (foot injury), L. Engel (hamstring injury), E. Eneli (knee injury).
Form. Austin FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. In this competition Austin FC have gone W L L L D D. Real Salt Lake have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. In this competition Real Salt Lake have gone W W D L W L.
The numbers. Austin FC score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Austin FC average 10.4 shots (4.4 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Real Salt Lake score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Real Salt Lake average 14.2 shots (5.6 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Austin FC have won two, drawn two and lost five. Eight of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, two were drawn and Real Salt Lake won two. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished Austin FC 1-2 Real Salt Lake: Austin FC had 10 shots to 23, 40% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. Austin FC's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Real Salt Lake or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. The meetings favour Real Salt Lake. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%. Eight of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Austin FC 1-2 Real Salt Lake (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).