Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 1. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
Form. CA Arteixo have won two, drawn three and lost two of their last seven league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D L L W. CD BARCO have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W D W.
The numbers. CA Arteixo score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game over their last seven, with two clean sheets. CA Arteixo average 7.4 shots (4.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. CD BARCO score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CD BARCO average 9.4 shots (4.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CA Arteixo 1-1 CD BARCO (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (CD BARCO the favourite), goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).